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Is F really that full?

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Does UA ever purposely block out F seats?

I'm curious because my flight next Thursday is at F1R1Y0 on a 757, and this is before any upgrades have cleared. I looked on the mobile site and only see 6 or so people that have upgraded already with miles/RPUs. I guess it could theoretically be all paid F, but I highly doubt it 5 days before Christmas.

Once or twice since 3/3, I've been CPU'ed well before my upgrade window (like T-7 days) when Y was sold out, and I'm wondering if that might happen here.

Can anyone explain what might be going on here? I'm trying to decide whether to use an RPU or not.

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