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Advice requested re which route to use RPU

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As a Plat, I am running just under 60% success rate for CPUs this year.

I have one more RPU to use up in the next few weeks. Considering one of the following routes to use it:

LAS-SFO-PIT (UA697/480) on a Monday
BOS-ORD-LAS (UA417/557) on a Monday
LAS-IAD-TPA (UA1659/1679) on a Thursday

I flew UA480 SFO-PIT a couple of Fridays ago, got a CPU, and we took off with one empty seat in F. So I wouldn't want to waste an RPU if a CPU was likely anyway. And even though these routes all involve LAS, I actually don't fly in and out of there much so I don't have my own experience to go on.

Any opinions appreciated.

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